EARLY SPRING BREAK-Warm February Start, Winter Is Still Here

Was Phil The Groundhog Right, Spring Is In The Air
Spring Break
Posted at 9:52 PM, Feb 07, 2019

Our "Short Stint" or so called "Spring Break" looks to continue on at least for one more day across the Baltimore metro area. The warmth of February seems to be a trend over the last 2 years with both 2017 and 2018 at least registering 15-22 days above average. So far this year it's not much different with 5 days above average already and even a 70 degree day to start out the month.

The "Weather Pattern" though does look to free fall back to reality this coming Friday as a powerful cold front pulls on through. This frontal boundary will tumble temps by 20-25 degrees Friday afternoon into early Saturday morning with winds gusting up to 40 mph. Highs on Saturday will barely make 40 degrees which will be a bit more of a shock to the system compared to our recent warm spell.

Once the cold returns the threat for wintry weather looks to follow. There is still uncertainty with this storm system based upon track and how much cold air looks to be available during the timing of precipitation.

Current modeling suggest a "two part" system with snow late Sunday into Monday followed up by a changeover to a wintry mix and plain rain Tuesday.

These precipitation types are based on the temperature, timing of the cold air, and placement of the storm system in relationship to a strong high pressure system that is just to our north. So stay tuned for further details.

Long range in the 8-14 day trend we see continued shifts in temperature and above average precipitation. Even with the cold coming in for the start of the week temperatures slowly warm back above average for Valentine's Day. As we have seen in prior years it looks as if the roller coaster ride will continue on.

If you are making plans for that special someone conditions look dry and seasonable so make those dinner reservations now for a great night ahead. Oh don't forget the flowers and candy too!!!

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