A large chunk of the area will be under a level 2 risk for strong to severe storms as we head into Tuesday. This means we will have the potential to see a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms as this stronger cold front pushes through. We should see some pre-frontal showers mid to late morning out ahead of the front, with a brief lull in activity as we head into the afternoon.
I think we'll see a little break in the clouds as we head into the afternoon, which will allow a narrow squall line to develop across parts of eastern New York down into western Maryland by early Tuesday afternoon. This is where we'll see the potential for some of these thunderstorms to become a bit more robust and produce some of the damaging wind.
Things begin to dry out Tuesday afternoon and we'll have a sunny end to the day with temperatures eventually dropping to the mid 30s by Wednesday morning. Sunny skies will dominate Wednesday-- but with temperatures struggling to warm into the upper 50s AND winds gusting up to 25mph, there will definitely be an element of chill in the air. Rain chances return Thursday, and will linger through the end of the weekend.