"LOW END SEVERE WEATHER RISK"
It's hard to believe that this will be our 7th consecutive weekend since the end of April with some sort of stormy weather. The streak begin on April 27-28th with a little over 0.01" of rainfall. From there each weekend through the month of May increased that totals and now June is much of the same. We may soon need an ark around here as this has just been the never ending rain season in Baltimore.
Unfortunately we just can't get out of this active weather. Showers and thunderstorms along with the threat for severe weather will return to the forecast this Saturday and look to carry us into the beginning of the workweek. A cold frontal boundary back to our west combined with a little heat will provide us with the perfect battleground for your typical slow moving summertime storms.
For that reason the Storm Prediction Center has placed the area under a "Marginal Risk" which simply means that we could have a few storms reach severe limits. On a scale of 1 to 5 we are running about a 1 for severe weather activity. This will not be a widespread event nor one to take lightly especially after the recent rains of the past few weeks creating an elevated FLASH FLOOD concern.
TIMING & THREATS
Scattered storms looks to bubble by mid afternoon and into the early evening hours. The best window to plan around would be 2-8pm for showers and storms.
Gusty winds and flash flooding are the biggest threats overall. Small hail also cannot be ruled out. The best bet for these threats would be south and west of the city where the environment is more favorable for storms. Storms look to exit the area by late evening with another round of heavy rain come Sunday.
Overall rainfall totals from now through Monday morning will be upward of 1-3". Some locations could see locally heavier amounts leading to FLASH FLOODING concerns. Remember if you see high water do not drive through it. Beach goers beware of storms this weekend ahead. When the thunder roars of course go indoors.
Stay weather aware and don't forget to download our free WMAR2News mobile app available at the Apple/GooglePlay store. More updates Thursday as conditions unfold.