Once again showers and storms are in the forecast with the potential for severe weather this evening. Our perfect weather from Monday and Tuesday has come to an end as another pesky frontal boundary moves into the area. A warm frontal boundary and an area of low pressure to our west will contribute to a low end risk for severe weather north and west of the city through the evening hours. For that reason the Storm Prediction Center has placed the portions of the area under a "Slight Risk" which simply means that we could have a few storms reach severe limits.
On a scale of 1 to 5 we are running about a 1 for severe activity here in central Maryland and a 0 in western Maryland. This will be more of a heavy rain event for most due to heavy cloud coverage and timing of the low pressure system as it swings on through.
TIMING & THREATS
Rounds of storms will continue to roll through this afternoon and evening with the heaviest rain during the late evening hours.
The best window to plan around severe weather would be between 6pm-11pm. Gusty winds and even the threat of an isolated tornado are the biggest threats overall with any of the severe storms.
The best bet for these threats would be north west of the city where the environment is more favorable for storms. Confidence on the forecast remains low though thanks to the clouds limiting storm fuel today.
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