When we think of Fall of course we associate it with cooler temperatures and drier conditions. Well this year may just be a little different to start.
With the first full day of Fall Sunday (September 23rd) on the horizon and a stalled frontal boundary overhead we have the perfect ingredients for increased rain chances across central Maryland.
On and off showers will be back in the forecast come Sunday as an area of low pressure runs along our stalled boundary.
At the same cooler air will wedge down the spine of the mountains thanks to a northerly to northeasterly breeze which will keep temperatures right around 60 degrees. A true fall day temperature wise out there but maybe not the use Ravens fans wanted to here for the second home game of the season against the Denver Broncos at 1pm.
Warm rain gear will be needed throughout the game and into the beginning of the workweek as this same setup will remain in place.
The front will eventually head north late Monday and Tuesday reducing our rain chances while popping temperatures back up to where they should be this time of year into the mid to upper 70s. As the front heads north the humidity will return giving us an increased chance for storms.
For that reason the DAY 4-8 outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlights an increased chance for severe weather west of our area come Tuesday. The best bet for storms right now in our forecast comes Wednesday as temperatures pop back into the 80s out ahead of a powerful cold front.
Chances for rain continue into Thursday before things start to quiet down late next week. Temperatures though at this point will stay at or above average with overnight lows doing the same thing. The real big Fall cool-down does not look to arrive until first full week of October when we have the potential to see our first frost of the year.
For now we will make the slow transition from Summer to Fall with average to above average temperatures and precipitation as we end September into the beginning of October.