After a nice dry stretch of weather over the past few days, we are looking at some changes today in the temperature department and we are looking at a more unsettled weather pattern. Starting with temperatures... daytime highs will be cooler than yesterday, in the lower-80s. This is primarily due to the combination of northeasterly winds, extra cloud cover aloft, and precipitation.
A tropical disturbance off the Carolina coast will bring showers to not only the Mid-Atlantic region, but for areas across the Carolinas, Virginia, Florida, and Georgia.
Showers will advect northward across I-95 during the afternoon hours. It is looking a bit drier across western Maryland. The rain jacket will be needed if you have any dinner plans this evening. Skies will remain cloudy and it will feel humid out there as dew points range in the upper-60s and lower-70s. The tropical moisture will linger overnight as the frontal boundary stalls out.
Rainfall totals through today into early Thursday morning will range anywhere from .25-1" with higher amounts to the south and east of I-95.
Plenty of instability will be in place Thursday as we will be sandwiched in between two fronts--so scattered thunderstorms will linger throughout the day. Locally heavy rainfall is the main concern, especially for low-lying areas. While confidence of flash flooding is on the lower end of the scale, there may be some localized flooding around low-lying areas. The threat for severe weather is low over the next few days but make sure you are paying close attention to radar as you will need to dodge some showers/storms.