Unlike 2018 where we have had rain on a numerous amount of days and weekend it's been on Fridays in 2019. We have had 12 consecutive Fridays with measurable rainfall since January 25th, 2019. This Friday looks to be the 13th with multiple rounds of showers and storms marching our way.
A warm front will start to lift our way Thursday touching off one or two showers before the main round of precipitation moves in Friday with the cold front. The front looks arrive in the afternoon and evening hours before clearing the coast early Saturday morning. The combination of low pressure to the north and west along with a front means gusty winds. Winds out ahead of the front look to gust 30-40 mph+ with much of the same behind the front Saturday as cooler air drains in.
Severe weather looks to be limited but not at a zero threat. Showers and storms look to fire in at least 2 waves Friday. The first round of weather should arrive in the mid morning to lunchtime period. Heavy downpours and gusty winds are likely as showers roll from west to east. Round 2 comes in for the mid afternoon and late evening rush hour commute home. This is where we could see at least one or two storms reaching severe limits.
Strong gusty winds look to be the primary threat along with very heavy rainfall. Currently the NOAA Storm Prediction Center has a level 1 risk for severe weather across extreme southern Maryland and central Virginia Friday afternoon. Once again the threats here are damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
Rainfall amounts will be on the order of 0.5"-1" which should help our cause in regards to the increased pollen levels across the area. All of the rain is thankfully out of here for the weekend ahead. Saturday looks great with highs in the 60s and 70s with tons of sun before clouds returns once again Sunday with highs in the low 70s.
More active weather arrives by the middle of next week.