Model trends continue to support a major storm for the Mid-Atlantic region beginning early in the day on Friday and lasting into Saturday evening.
The European model has been bullish on this storm hit the Mid-Atlantic since late last week, and really, has not wavered much if at all. But just as interestingly, the American (GFS) model and the Canadian model have come more into line with the Euro as of today. This represents large model agreement nearly a full four days before the event, impressive!
Bottom line: While it's still a bit to early to give an accurate estimate on snow totals, let's just say "a foot or more" seems well with in reach around Baltimore and Central Maryland with a powerhouse storm like this.
Now granted, this forecast may seem drastic given the fact that, for the most part, Winter hasn't really shown up in Maryland thus far this season. But of course, a big part of the reason for the long, mild and snowless stretch of weather has been the powerful El Nino that has been in play.
While this is true, what you also have to remember is that, historically, the biggest winter storms during strong El Nino years have delivered 20" inches or more to Maryland!
Now, to be sure, we do not know that yet this kind of epic snowfall will be the case with this this particular storm.
However, I just want to give you a head's up to start thinking of this significant potential disruption as you plan your Friday and Saturday. Stay tuned on this one, bigtime!
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