The weekend is upon and on top of that it's Father's Day on Sunday. Do you have a gift yet for good ole' Dad, maybe a grill or a set of golf clubs will work since the weather will be on par for outdoor standards.
High pressure kicks off the weekend with comfy temperatures to start in the 50s before a surge into the low to mid 80s courtesy of southwesterly flow. Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected despite a frontal boundary moving in from the west. High pressure looks to be close enough off the coast to keep things dry and warm. Humidity will also make a return late as southwesterly breezes pull in that rich Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic moisture in.
Father's Day will feature more of the moisture in the form of humidity and heat. Temperatures look to climb close to 90 degrees if not over that mark as southwesterly breezes continue to blow at 10-15 mph. The combination of heat and humidity plus an area of high pressure breaking down spells trouble for thunderstorms. An incoming stalled frontal boundary also doesn't help the cause adding a lifting mechanism to get storms going in the afternoon and evening hours.
Right now the Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of our area including the mountains of Western Maryland in a "Level 1 Marginal Risk" for severe weather. This is where most of the storm activity will be confined going into the Sunday afternoon and evening time-frame. A few storms could make it up and over the mountains though into the Baltimore metro Sunday afternoon carrying the threats of gusty winds and heavy rain. Once again this is not a washout scenario but the chance is there so have a "Plan B" to take activities indoors.
Better rain chances arrive for the beginning of next week as a stalled frontal boundary sits draped across the area. The highest rain chances look to come Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday during the afternoon and evening hours. Storms look to dump very heavy rainfall especially with the large amount of muggy air in place.
The front looks to be with us through Thursday before slowly moving out for the first official day of Summer Friday June 20th. Long range projections though in the 8-14 day period still suggest above average temperatures and precipitation chances which is typical for this time of year. Get use to it since Summer is right around the corner!!